Ideas:
segunda-feira, 9 de janeiro de 2012
Grand slam trading - Big favs patterns
Hello guys, today i would like to post one pattern for grand slam. It happens a lot of times when there is a clear favorite in a grand slam match(best of 5). Basically, if they don't start slow they will fight for the first and second set with the same effort and usually relax in the third set. The third set is usually a good moment to lay these favorites and sometimes its here that happens miracles because there are some favorites that have some problems to get to the original level after relaxing, like for example Federer lately. If you remember Federer in wimbledon against Tsonga, he relaxed and Tsonga went to won the match.
domingo, 8 de janeiro de 2012
Search for profitable patterns with one example (strategy)
Today, i would like to give you one case study to build profitable patterns.
Pattern:
Back favorite if he lost the first set.
How did i see it? Watching a lot of atp tennis matches, i noticed that the price goes down very fast in the second set for the favorite that lost the first set if he starts to play well. I noticed also that the price goes down faster in that player because he is better in theory and markets know it. So basically the pattern is to take advantage of a slow start from a player on the first set for the second set knowing that his odds will bouce back faster for his side and other player can relax and start to do more unforced errors.
Ok, now we know the pattern, but how can we make it profitable?
We need indicators. First of all this pattern is very dangerous in wta. Why? Women's serv is very weak and you can get burned very easilly. Ok so what do we need? Good serv and consistency. Atp is better for that.
More indicators? Knowing the players' profile. It's very important. Prices? It's here that you have to study. Checking for value and fair prices but to start i would recommend odds of 2 or near in both because with lower odds in the player that lost the first set you need a lot of experience, because they are not motivated all the time.
Indicators:
- Atp matches.
- good serv.
- Player profile.
Dont forget that for an entry point you always need a clear exit point.
sexta-feira, 4 de novembro de 2011
Extreme way to make change happen
This is not a joke. It's a powerful method to make change happen.
Buy dog or cat food.
Make a promise that you will follow rules and if you don't follow it...
Eat that food.
Instead of dog and cat food you can choose something you really hate to do. So you will take advantage of that pain to dont break rules.
r9
domingo, 30 de outubro de 2011
quinta-feira, 27 de outubro de 2011
"keep real money with you"
The strategy is simple but very powerful. Keep real money with you while trading. For example if you use 100 € stakes keep 100€ in money with you where you can see it. What is the objective here? The objective is to remind us that we are trading real money, and while 100 € can be a low stake in our mind while trading if we keep the real money our mind will clearly see that its a lot of money and we have to play defensive, protecting it, protecting our bank and that is the best mindset. Defensive doesnt mean you wont take opportunities, its like when you drive a car, you must have a defensive driving to protect yourself. In this case its the bank. One should focus on protecting what you have.
This way you are going to stay much more focused because you know are risking that 100 € in real money that you have in front of you.
good trades
Subscrever:
Mensagens (Atom)




