Ideas:
domingo, 29 de abril de 2012
Time management system
Hello guys, today i would like to share a simple time management system that i use on a daily basis for tasks that require some focus. It's very popular and it's great for someone that needs to get a lot of things done.
The system's name is "The pomodoro technique" and its basically setting a kitchen timer or software timer and just focus on that task till the timer expires, make a small break and start again doing another task for the same activity or another activity. On the website they provide the system and the sheets of the daily "to do lists" and activities. The idea of the system is really nice because when you have a deadline for something your mind usually focus on that very well. Try it.
http://www.pomodorotechnique.com/
Organizing your ideas
Hello guys, today i would like to talk about a simple software that offers a good database for your ideas and notes instead of creating 1000 files for each one of your ideas and you can do a lot more using it. I use it a lot and it's great to organize notes. If you dont want to upload the notes to the servers, i recommend you to create a local notebook on the software.
You can find it at https://www.evernote.com/.
quarta-feira, 8 de fevereiro de 2012
Set price limit
Hello guys, today i would like to give you one idea to develop your tennis trading that i am still developing. Its about set price limits. For example , in the match of the image, What price Do you think cetskova would have if she lost the first set. She started 1.30's i would say maybe 2 or a bit more, and what if she reached this price during the set? Yes the idea is to get advantage of having a position in the best player and expect him to recover knowing that the price will not go against us a lot but can go in our side a lot, and thats the most probable scenario because players start very slow sometimes and recover after some time. In that match cetskova was +2 with the score 3.1 and some points (cant remeber) for brianti in the first set. She recovered and won the set.
Using this trading style, it's important to have clear exit points and you need some experience to know when the price has value like in this situation.
good trades
quinta-feira, 12 de janeiro de 2012
Tennis trick - Injured player retiring after first set completed
terça-feira, 10 de janeiro de 2012
Pattern that happens right before Grandslams
This pattern happens a lot of times in the matches before grandslams. The best players will not play 100 % because they will not risk injuries so you have to be careful backing them and look more for value trades, but be careful because going against a favorite can cost a lot of €, so, plan it or just risk with your profit when your intuition says there is a chance, not a simple chance, a GOOD chance.
segunda-feira, 9 de janeiro de 2012
Grand slam trading - Big favs patterns
Hello guys, today i would like to post one pattern for grand slam. It happens a lot of times when there is a clear favorite in a grand slam match(best of 5). Basically, if they don't start slow they will fight for the first and second set with the same effort and usually relax in the third set. The third set is usually a good moment to lay these favorites and sometimes its here that happens miracles because there are some favorites that have some problems to get to the original level after relaxing, like for example Federer lately. If you remember Federer in wimbledon against Tsonga, he relaxed and Tsonga went to won the match.
domingo, 8 de janeiro de 2012
Search for profitable patterns with one example (strategy)
Today, i would like to give you one case study to build profitable patterns.
Pattern:
Back favorite if he lost the first set.
How did i see it? Watching a lot of atp tennis matches, i noticed that the price goes down very fast in the second set for the favorite that lost the first set if he starts to play well. I noticed also that the price goes down faster in that player because he is better in theory and markets know it. So basically the pattern is to take advantage of a slow start from a player on the first set for the second set knowing that his odds will bouce back faster for his side and other player can relax and start to do more unforced errors.
Ok, now we know the pattern, but how can we make it profitable?
We need indicators. First of all this pattern is very dangerous in wta. Why? Women's serv is very weak and you can get burned very easilly. Ok so what do we need? Good serv and consistency. Atp is better for that.
More indicators? Knowing the players' profile. It's very important. Prices? It's here that you have to study. Checking for value and fair prices but to start i would recommend odds of 2 or near in both because with lower odds in the player that lost the first set you need a lot of experience, because they are not motivated all the time.
Indicators:
- Atp matches.
- good serv.
- Player profile.
Dont forget that for an entry point you always need a clear exit point.
Subscrever:
Mensagens (Atom)





