Today, i would like to give you one case study to build profitable patterns.
Pattern:
Back favorite if he lost the first set.
How did i see it? Watching a lot of atp tennis matches, i noticed that the price goes down very fast in the second set for the favorite that lost the first set if he starts to play well. I noticed also that the price goes down faster in that player because he is better in theory and markets know it. So basically the pattern is to take advantage of a slow start from a player on the first set for the second set knowing that his odds will bouce back faster for his side and other player can relax and start to do more unforced errors.
Ok, now we know the pattern, but how can we make it profitable?
We need indicators. First of all this pattern is very dangerous in wta. Why? Women's serv is very weak and you can get burned very easilly. Ok so what do we need? Good serv and consistency. Atp is better for that.
More indicators? Knowing the players' profile. It's very important. Prices? It's here that you have to study. Checking for value and fair prices but to start i would recommend odds of 2 or near in both because with lower odds in the player that lost the first set you need a lot of experience, because they are not motivated all the time.
Indicators:
- Atp matches.
- good serv.
- Player profile.
Dont forget that for an entry point you always need a clear exit point.
